Table of Contents - DBSA_Development_Report2011

DBSA_Development_Report2011

• Figure 3.1: Location of WMAs and inter-WMA transfers
• Figure 3.2: Institutional framework of the water sector in South Africa
• Figure 3.3: Mean annual runoff, population and economic activity (GDP) per WMA10
• Figure 3.4: Role of institutional and skills challenges in the water sector
• Figure 3.5: Institutional challenges in the water sector
• Figure 3.6: Vision of institutional framework for the water sector19
• Table 3.1: National water reconciliations and potential for development in South Africa (million m3/year)
• Table 3.2: Water resource allocation per water user sector
• Table 3.3: Proposed short-term interventions
• Figure 1: Savings rate: South Africa and other emerging economies, 1980, 1990s and 2000s2
• Figure 2: Trends in the domestic fixed investment rate, 1980, 1990s and 2000s4
• Figure 3: Food insecurity by district municipality10
• Figure 4: IPAP 2 sectoral analysis13
• Figure 5: South African sectoral activity, 2008—201114
• Figure 6: Mean annual runoff, population and economic activity (GDP) per WMA15
• Figure 7: Distribution of South African trade, January—June 201119
• Figure 8: Potential green economy programmes and enabling platforms26
• Figure 9: Distribution of employment by sector, 201031
• Figure 10: Change in employment by sector, 2001—2010 32
• Figure 11: Enrolment in higher education and FET institutions in South Africa
• Figure 12: Annual per capita personal income by race as a proportion of white levels, 1917—200837
• Figure 13: Trust in government institutions, 2004—200966
• Figure 14: Service delivery protests, 2004—201067
• Figure 15: Areas likely to be key attractors of the economy in the next decade, and possibly up to 2025, given current trends76
• Figure 16: Areas likely to be characterised by high population densities up to 2025, given current trends77
• Figure 17: The relationship between projected water availability scenarios — without development — and population estimates for 202578
• Figure 18: The relationship between projected resource-rich regions and areas that act as ecosystem lifelines79
• Figure 19: Spatial distribution of functional and dysfunctional municipalities
• Figure 20: Trends in gross fixed capital formation, 2000—201180
• Table 1: National water reconciliations and potential for development in South Africa (million m3/year)
• Table 2: Key BRICS indicators, 200922
• Table 3: IMF global economic outlook, September 201175
• Table 4: Improving political governance
• Table 5: Improving economic stewardship
• Table 6: Improving civic leadership
• Table 7: Building a delivery state
• Table 8: Building effective social coalitions
• Table 9: Valuing excellence
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Defining water security
• 3. Driving imperatives
• 4. Towards greater water security
• 5. Concluding remarks
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• List of Tables
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Basic education in the context of government priorities
• 3. Taking forward the DBSA roadmap process
• 4. Factors affecting the quality of education performance in South Africa
• 5. Characteristics of effective schools79
• 6. Factors inhibiting the successful implementation of strategies
• 7. Overview of Action Plan to 2014
• 8. Way forward
• Endnotes
• Figure 4.1: Percentage pass in Grade 12 examinations, 2010, and percentage of learners receiving social grants by province, 2008
• Table 4.1: Learner performance by access to learning materials and textbooks, Grade 6 Systemic Evaluation, 200529
• Table 4.2: Differences between groups (mean scores) 46
• Table 4.3: Grade 12 pass rates: Ivory Park and Alexandra, 2006—2010
• Table 4.4: Grade 12 pass rates of suburban schools in the north-east of Johannesburg, 2006—2010
• Table 4.5: Principal attributes correlated with gains in student achievement67
• Table 4.6: Educational practices that improve student achievement81
• Table 4.7: Requirements for effective schools in developing countries83
• Table 4.8: Conceptual framework: Factors that determine school effectiveness86
• Table 4.9: Provincial departments and their constituent apartheid education departments
• Table 4.10: Resources by apartheid education department, 199399
• Table 4.11: Auditor-General reports for provincial education departments, 2005/06—2009/10
• Table 4.12: Outputs and sub-outputs in the Basic Education Delivery Agreement
• Table 4.13: Goals of the Action Plan to 2014 in relation to the conceptual framework for factors that determine school effectiveness and goals related to consequence127
• Figure 6.1: International comparison of per capita public health expenditure and life expectancy at birth4
• Figure 6.2: Challenges in the South African healthcare system
• Figure 6.3: High burden of disease
• Figure 6.4: National HIV prevalence among antenatal clinic attendees, 1990—2007
• Figure 6.5: Human resources information needs
• Figure 6.6: State of public health facilities, excluding clinics, 199614
• Figure 6.7: Health management project scope and scale
• Figure 6.8: Healthcare benefits paid from risk pool, 2009
• Figure 6.9: Specialist distribution of benefits paid: Top ten specialists, 2009/1018
• Figure 6.10: Funding flows
• 1. Introduction
• 2. The South African health system
• 3. Phased strategic response
• 4. Potential risks and mitigation
• 5. Critical success factors
• 6. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• List of Tables
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Most likely location of economic and population growth in 2025
• 3. Comparative spatial representations of population and economic growth patterns, 1996—2025
• 4. Implications for natural and energy sources and ecosystem functions
• 5. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• Figure 7.1: Areas likely to be key attractors of the economy in the next decade, and possibly up to 2025, given current trends3
• Figure 7.2: Areas likely to be characterised by high population densities up to 2025, given current trends5
• Figure 7.3: Economic growth trends and pressures, 1995—20078
• Figure 7.4: Spatial representation of economic growth and possible patterns, given current trends, 1996—20259
• Figure 7.5: Population growth trends and pressures, 1995—200711
• Figure 7.6: Spatial representation of population growth and possible patterns, given current trends, 1996—202512
• Figure 7.7: The relationship between projected water availability scenarios — without development — and population estimates for 202515
• Figure 7.8: The relationship between resource-rich regions and areas that act as ecosystem lifelines16
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Key challenges in South Africa’s current spatial trajectory
• 3. Rethinking approaches to spatial development
• 4. Towards a new spatial trajectory
• 5. Redesigning instruments and institutions
• 6. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Defining state capacity
• 3. Reform initiatives and trends: 1994 to date
• 4. Building effective institutions
• 5. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• Figure 1.1: Real GDP growth, 1955—20091
• Figure 1.2: South Africa’s strategic environmental dilemma2
• Figure 1.3: GDP growth, 1994—201015
• Figure 1.4: Balance on the current and capital account, 1994—201016
• Figure 1.5: Savings rate: South Africa and other emerging economies, 1980, 1990s and 2000s17
• Figure 1.6: Trends in the domestic fixed investment rate, 1980, 1990s and 2000s20
• Figure 1.7: Changes in the contribution of the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to GDP, 1994—200922
• Figure 1.8: Decomposition of growth trends in the primary sector, 1994—200924
• Figure 1.9: Decomposition of growth trends in the secondary sector, 1994—200926
• Figure 1.10: Decomposition of growth trends in the tertiary sector28
• Figure 1.11: Growth in the real value of exports, 1960—2004 (%)33
• Figure 1.12: Labour force participation rates (15—65 age group), 2001—201039
• Figure 1.13: Trade balance, 1994—200836
• Figure 1.14: Participation rates by race and gender, 201040
• Figure 1.15: Unemployment, 1994—201043
• Figure 1.16: Unemployment by age, 201044
• Figure 1.17: Number employed, 2001, 2009 and 2010
• Figure 1.18: Distribution of employment by sector, 201031
• Figure 1.19: Change in employment by sector, 2001—2010 32
• Figure 1.20: Decomposition of poverty by race, 200955
• Figure 1.21: Gini coefficient by race, 1996—200958
• Figure 1.22: Theil index by race, 1995—200562
• Figure 1.23: Annual per capita personal income by race as a proportion of white levels, 1917—200865
• Figure 1.24: Share of total income by decile, 1993, 2000 and 200867
• Figure 1.25: IPAP 2 sectoral analysis126
• Figure 1.26: Distribution of South African trade, January—June 2011129
• Figure 1.27: Potential green economy programmes and enabling platforms137
• Figure 1.28: Trends in gross fixed capital formation, 2000—2011141
• Figure 1.29: Integrated infrastructure planning framework
• Figure 1.30: South African sectoral activity, 2008—2011141
• Figure 1.30: Rate of GDP growth required to create half a million jobs per year for a given employment intensity of growth154
• Table 1.1: Countries with annual average GDP growth rates of 6%18
• Table 1.2: Decomposition of real growth in the manufacturing sector, by three-digit SIC27
• Table 1.3: Global outlook31
• Table 1.4: South Africa’s trade with main trade partners, 2000—2008 (US$ million and % annual growth rates)38
• Table 1.5: Analysis of gaps and misalignments in the current delivery programmes
• Table 1.6: Sectoral decomposition of job losses, 2009—201049
• Table 1.7: Income poverty: Households below the poverty line, 1996—2009 (million)54
• Table 1.8: Indicators of non-income poverty, 1996 and 200968
• Table 1.9: Gini coefficient for non-income inequality by race for South Africa, 1993—200571
• Table 1.10: Key BRICS indicators, 2009132
• Table 1.11: IMF global economic outlook, September 2011150
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Energy sector overview
• 3. Energy sector trends: Challenges, risks and trade-offs
• 4. Recommendations
• 5. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• List of Tables
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Background
• 3. Key conditions in the macro-environment
• 4. Critical challenges and proposed interventions
• 5. Trade-offs and critical success factors
• 6. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• List of Tables
• 1. Theoretical framework
• 2. Key economic trends
• 3. Key policy trends, 1994—2009
• 4. 2010 onwards: The New Growth Path and related policy initiatives
• 5. Conclusion
• Endnotes
• List of Figures
• List of Tables